Friday, December 13, 2013

Overcoming Injuries, Erratic Pitching Early On

Eureka has been fortunate in the early going.  Batting champion SS Hennessey, 2B Clement Milford, new acquisition and starting catcher Takaaki Hirayama, and new acquisition and starting DH Roberto Guzman have been injured for either all or part of the season so far.  The pitching staff, a strength of the team, has been inconsistent and not very good.  But the team is 14 and 5, and in first place.  There has been some luck involved, because the projected record based on current performance is 11 and 8, and the team is 5-0 in 1-run games, 2-0 in extra innings, and 8-2 away from home. 

It is time now for the team to assert itself with better performance.  Cy Young winner Jake Nelson (3-0, 1.24 ERA) is the only consistent starting pitcher so far.  The others (Anthony Atkinson, 1-2, 4.94 ERA; Royce Butterfield, 2-1, 5.95 ERA; Bob Smith, 2-0, 5.23 ERA; Toshiki Koda, 1-2, 5.65 ERA) have been woefully inconsistent, if not downright poor.  The bullpen has not been much better (William Nolan, 7.71 ERA; Carlos Nunes, 7.27 ERA; Claude Howard, 4.66 ERA) headline the underachievers.  There is some good news: long man Mike Miller (2.13 ERA), middle reliever Dave Goodwin (.93 ERA) and setup man Pat Short (0.00 ERA) have been quite good.

On the offensive side, rookie slugger Gary Ferris has been struggling mightily, with a .188/.240/.261 slash line.  He has somehow managed 9 RBIs in 19 games, despite hitting near the bottom of the lineup.  Michael Brown, logging a lot of plate appearances because of injuries, has a .175/.232/.238 line.  A bright spot has been firstbaseman Dwayne Hatcher, hitting .382/.455/.706 with 5 HRs and 14 RBIs.

Kansas City has been tough, and is running neck-and-neck with Eureka.  The Hornets have to become sharper to repeat as division champions.

Friday, October 11, 2013

At Last

Eureka's fine starting pitching finally brought the Hornets to first place in the Sparky Anderson Division.  However, the team is ranked 10th in home runs, with superstar Bergeron only batting .264 with 15 home runs.  A nice offensive surprise has been Jack Watson, who has followed up a .217/.289/.365 14 home runs year with a .345/.378/.655 24 home runs year this year with 57 games remaining. 

Friday, September 27, 2013

Hanging In

Eureka has been hanging in despite the loss of leading hitter Mike Bergeron, out for a month with a broken foot.  Eureka's pitching has been strong, leading the league with the fewest runs allowed.  The offense is inconsistent, but some of the hitters have been stellar, including Jack Watson (.381/.403/.679), Jesus Gonzalez (.366/.444/.683), and Bob Hennessey (.338/.384/.470). 

A recent blow was the loss of #2 starter Royce Butterfield, out 2 to 3 months with a herniated disk.

If Eureka can find some offensive consistency, look out!

Friday, September 13, 2013

Runs, Anyone?

Eureka is playing some pretty low scoring ball in the early going.  The hoped-for maturation of the younger hitters has not happened yet.  Outfielder Hatcher is hitting .203 in the early going, and Ito is doing even more poorly, at .171.  In addition, starting centerfielder Gonzalez and starting rightfielder Otero are on the disabled list with early-season injuries. 

The starting pitching, however, has not disappointed, with with a league-leading ERA of 2.66 to this point in the season.

The Hornets management hopes the team will produce enough runs to win consistently.  Some bad contracts were cut last season, and the full brunt of the full load of those contracts are being felt this season, so there is no wiggle room to add an additional veteran bat or two.

Saturday, July 13, 2013

Fast Close?

The Hornets are two games behind in the wildcard race.  All of Eureka is wondering if they have it in them to ramp it up to catch Boston by the close of the season.

Eureka's cause was recently hurt by the injury of Royce Butterfield.  He strained his oblique, and is out for two weeks.  He will return for a couple of starts at the end of the season.  Eureka's pitching has been excellent, but the team has been in an overall funk all season long.  Hopefully it is simply the result of youth, and many of the young players will be prepared to hit the ball with authority next season.

Saturday, June 29, 2013

A Little O?

The Hornets are having trouble generating much offense.  Though the Starting Rotation has the best ERA in the Thurman Munson League, the offense has produced the 10th most runs in the league.  Centerfielder Jesus Gonzalez has had a career year, leading the team with a .301 batting average,  23 home runs, and 71 RBIs.  As a statement about how poor the offense is, shortstop Bob Hennessey (23-years-old) is one of the team leaders with a .272 batting average, 54 RBIs, and 49 runs scored.  Mike Bergeron (25-years-old) is enjoying his worst season, though it is not poor by most standards.  He has a .289 batting average, 53 RBIs, and 32 stolen bases.

The long-term catching situation has been stabilized by the return-to-health and promotion of Seitaro Uenohara (25-years-old).  In limited time so far (47 plate appearances), Uenohara has batted .298 with 2 home runs.  The catcher position has been an offensive black hole for Eureka for the past year-and-a-half.

Thirdbaseman John Jones (21-years-old) has been promoted for a second time this season after batting .331/.422/.481 in AAA.  Given his AAA success and the season-long struggles of the offense, he will be given a chance to show he belongs.

Sunday, June 2, 2013

Back to Earth

After a phenomenal start to the season, Eureka has settled back, and is currently in second place with a 28-23 record, 3 1/2 games behind Las Vegas.

Eureka's offense has been a huge problem so far.   Orlando Carranzo (RF),  Dave Carpenter (C), and Andrew Padgett (LF) all have batting averages under the Mendoza line.  Padgett has been sent to AAA to regain his stroke, while 22-year-old Jack Watson and 24-year-old Alfred Cook  were brought up to provide some spark.  Unfortunately, Watson is batting .190 in 100 at bats, while Cook is batting .100 in 20 at bats.  So much for a spark!

The bright side of things remains the pitching and defense.  Starter Atkinson continues to lead the rotation with a 6-2 record and 1.59 ERA.  The staff as a whole is strong.  The bullpen has not been quite as strong, but closer Austin is on pace for 57 saves, and has been his usual effective self.

Eureka's season rests on the offense, and whether or not it can produce enough to help the team win.

Thursday, May 23, 2013

Pitching Rich in Early Going

Eureka has been led into first place by good pitching and good breaks in the early going.  The starting rotation, in particular, has been impressive, led by Anthony "Pongo" Atkinson and his 3-1 record and 1.30 ERA.  His first start of the season was Eureka's first no-hitter.  Ace Royce Butterfield is only 1-1, but has an impressive 1.61 ERA in four starts.  Fifth starter Mike Miller is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA.

Closer Brad Austin has been impressive overall, with 9 saves and 1 win in 12 games.  Eureka is 7-4 in 1-run games, so good relief sprinkled in with some luck has helped the Hornets get out to a hot start.  The offense, on the other hand, has not contributed much, with a .703 OPS which ranks 9th in the TML.

The Hornets are young, which means their current streak may not last.  However, as the pitchers and batters mature, there is hope for several strong seasons in a row.



Monday, March 25, 2013

Year In Review: No Sting This Season

The offense let the team down in 2014, with the 7th highest run total in the Thurman Munson League.  That will not cut it for a team with aspirations to be a perennial playoff team.

The good news is that the overall lineup has good youth, headlined by OF/DH Mike Bergeron, who at 24 had his second 40-homer, 120+ RBI season, to go along with a batting average well north of .300. 
Centerfielder Jesus Gonzalez (27 years old) is another source of power for Eureka, increasing his output to 31 homeruns to go along with an .848 OPS and high-quality defense.  Orlando Carranzo (27 years old), another outfielder, smacked 28 homeruns.  Shortstop Clement Milford (22 years old) performed adequately in 2014, leading the league with 57 stolen bases.  However, he will be expected to improve his OBP (.336) and fielding in the future.

The rest of the lineup may be in flux over the next couple of seasons.  Current thirdbaseman Bob Hennessey (23 years old today) was a fast riser, even in the push-em-fast, push-em-high Eureka minor league system.  He started the season in A ball, but advanced to the ML team in time to play in 56 games, hitting .288.  He does not have much power, however, and might be better placed in the future at short, with Milford moving to second base, which would be a better fit for him as well.

Manual Sanchez (22 years old), acquired during the season in a trade, may continue as a starter or he may become a role player.  He played in 90 games with 340 at bats, hitting .259.  He has good speed, stealing 16 bases in 21 attempts.  However, his lack of power as a corner-position infielder may hold him back.

Andrew Padget (25 years old), another outfielder, had an up-and-down season.  He had a 23-game hitting streak.  He hit 19 home runs and had 23 stolen bases.  However, until he becomes more consistently good he may never be the "stud" player ownership had once hoped he would be. 

Michael Brown (30 years old) had a disappointing season.  He followed up a .306/.370/.509 season in 2013 with a .252/.308/.386 2014.  He was moved from first base to second to accommodate Sanchez and Hennessey.  His versatility (he can play all the infield positions) will give him at bats, but unless he improves his performance he will be nothing more than an expensive utility player. 

Dave Carpenter (26 years old), proved to be an expensive platoon catcher, albeit with a team-best 3.43 catcher's ERA.  He is in a platoon with capable veteran Ronnie Wells (34 years old), who is fading but still provides valuable leadership.

There is some potential offensive muscle on the farm.  Jack Watson (22 years old), a corner outfielder, performed well in AAA for Eureka after being acquired in a trade, with a .292/.352/.492 slash line.  He went 1 for 4 in a late-season callup in Eureka.  He probably requires 1-2 seasons more before he will be ready for full-time major league duty.

Dwayne Hatcher (23 years old) is another corner outfielder with power potential.  He was promoted aggressively in his first professional season, moving from A (where he had a .904 OPS in limited action) to AA (.910 OPS) to AAA (.704 OPS).  AAA is where he will be at least for the next season.

Salvador Ramos (19 years old), a recent free agent acquisition, projects to be an average-fielding shortstop with good speed and high-average ability.  Eduardo Otero (23 years old) was injured most of his first season.  If he can stay healthy, he is another corner outfielder with high-average, average power, good speed potential.

The pitching side of the  organization, as planned, is a strength.  The pitching allowed the second-fewest runs in the league, 3rd in starters ERA (4.10) and 4th in bullpen ERA (3.52).  That only figures to improve with the continued maturation of a number of young pitchers.

The current leader of the rotation is Royce Butterfield (23 years old), who has won 26 games the past two seasons.  He may soon be supplanted by Anthony Atkinson (20 years old), who spent his first full season in the majors (10-8, 4.23 ERA in 22 starts), though he ended the season on the DL due to shoulder inflammation, or Jake Nelson (20 years old), who started the season in AAA but turned in solid numbers in the majors (6-9, 3.63 ERA in 26 starts). 

Mike Miller (26 years old, 9-13, 3.93 ERA) and Paul Green (27 years old, 6-4, 5.03 ERA in an injury-ravaged campaign) are consistent performers but not ace material.

There are some more arms on the way.  Bob Smith (23 years old) was taken in the rule 5 draft, but after bombing (1-2, 7.11 ERA in 4 starts) he was returned to the Eureka organization and posted solid numbers at AA (2-4, 2.82 ERA in 10 starts) and less solid at AAA (4-8, 4.89 ERA), where he will start next season. Dave Blake (19 years old) posted passable numbers in AA (7-6, 4.46 ERA), and poor numbers in AAA (2-6, 5.71 ERA).  He may start next season in AA again. 

Further down on the farm, Toshiki Koda (19 years old) pitched well in A ball (5-6, 2.94 ERA in 18 starts), and not so well in AA ball (1-5, 5.40 ERA in 18 starts).  He may need another season in A ball.  Edgardo Felix (19 years old) pitched well in his second season in A ball (6-4, 2.92 ERA in 11 starts) and okay in AA (5-8, 4.12 ERA in 23 starts).  He will start in AA next season.

In the bullpen, Veteran closer Brad Austin (34 years old) turned in a stellar year, with a 1.98 ERA, 39 saves, and a 1.05 WHIP.  Veteran setup man Jim Dorsey (36 years old) appeared in 85 games with a 3.23 ERA.  New acquisitions Cal Henry (23 years old, 2.70 ERA for Eureka following a trade) and Yong-Hong Pao (25 years old, 3.07 ERA) and Claude Howard (22 years old, 3.19 ERA) form a youthful contingent to back them up.

If Eureka can find some more offense, and the pitching can continue to mature, the future in Eureka should be pretty bright!





Saturday, March 23, 2013

After Long Season, Will Hornets Sting in the End?

Eureka snuck into the playoffs last season, surging at the end.  Will they do it again?  Halfway through the season the Hornets were 10 games back in the standings and looking listless.  An injury to the reliable #3 starting pitcher Paul Green and injury and ineffectiveness by Nick Hawkins, as well as an inconsistent offense, hurt the team.  However, following trades of veteran stalwart Eduardo Gomez and middle reliever Ambrosio Cuco, and a commitment to a full-fledged youth movement, the team began to turn it around.

Manual Sanchez, acquired in the Gomez trade, is currently playing first base, batting 2nd in the order, and providing some spark near the top of the order.  Reliever Cal Henry, also acquired in the Gomez trade, is 4-0 with 1 save and a 1.08 WHIP with a 2.36 ERA in a setup role.  Bob Hennessey, in his first professional season, has moved all the way from A ball to third base for the Hornets, and is batting .291 as the new thirdbaseman.

It remains to be seen if the Hornets will make the playoffs this year, but the team has not folded despite the early-season troubles.

Saturday, February 9, 2013

Hornets Playing to Talent Level

Eureka has disappointed some in the early going, with a 21-18 record and  falling to 5 games behind the division leader.  However, the team is really playing to its current talent level.  The young starting rotation is actually doing well overall, led by current #1 Royce Butterfield.  Despite some early-season struggles, he is 3-3 with a 4.40 ERA.  Future #1 or #2 Anthony Atkinson is 4-2 with a 3.89 ERA in his first full season in the rotation, and the other future #1 or #2, Jake Nelson, won his first start with 6 innings of 2-hit ball. 

The bullpen, on the other hand, has been a disappointment so far.  Closer Brad Austin has an uncharacteristically-high 3.55 ERA.  Middle reliever Brad Austin, a stalwart in his first two seasons, is scuffling terribly so far, with a 6.89 ERA.  So is Ambrosio Cuco, with a higher WHIP and 4.63 ERA.

The offense continues to be potent, 3rd in the league in runs scored and home runs, and Eureka is 2nd in defensive efficiency. 

The elements seem to be there for another playoff run, but the results have to be more impressive in the remaining 3/4 of the season or the Hornets will be on the outside-looking-in again after a one-year appearance in the championship series.

Saturday, January 19, 2013

After Great Run, A Letdown?

The Hornets found the postseason a year earlier than expected last season.  Once there, the team made a much deeper run into the postseason than expected, getting to the World Series.  It was a phenomenal season for team leader Mike Bergeron, who won both the TML Silver Slugger and MVP.  He did everything, playing all 162 games, with a.339/.402/.609 slashline, with 221 hits, 40 HRs, 122 RBIs, 122 Runs Scored, and even 50 stolen bases in 71 attempts.

The Hornets still have a number of young pitchers, and will require more offensive fireworks to be competitive this season. Just as during last season, when a more seasoned bullpen helped to stabilize/bail out a weaker starting rotation, it should do the same this year.

Last season may have been something of an overreach, but within the next year or two the rotation should be very solid.  With the offensive core mostly intact, that will enable the team to be competitive on a regular basis.